Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
