SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | SC Paderborn |
| 39.34% | 26.55% | 34.1% |
| Both teams to score 52.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.26% | 52.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.63% | 74.37% |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.76% | 26.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.65% | 61.34% |
| SC Paderborn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.67% | 29.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.7% | 65.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | SC Paderborn |
| 1-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 8.45% 2-0 @ 6.89% 3-1 @ 3.77% 3-0 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.27% Total : 39.34% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 7.7% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.55% | 0-1 @ 9.44% 1-2 @ 7.75% 0-2 @ 5.79% 1-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.5% Total : 34.1% |
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