Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greuther Furth would win this match.