SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-8 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Paderborn would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Erzgebirge Aue | Draw | SC Paderborn |
| 28.16% | 25.72% | 46.12% |
| Both teams to score 52.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.55% | 51.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.74% | 73.26% |
| Erzgebirge Aue Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.19% | 32.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.63% | 69.37% |
| SC Paderborn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.71% | 22.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.26% | 55.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Erzgebirge Aue | Draw | SC Paderborn |
| 1-0 @ 8.15% 2-1 @ 6.82% 2-0 @ 4.54% 3-1 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 1.9% 3-0 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.53% Total : 28.16% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 7.31% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 10.97% 1-2 @ 9.18% 0-2 @ 8.24% 1-3 @ 4.6% 0-3 @ 4.12% 2-3 @ 2.56% 1-4 @ 1.73% 0-4 @ 1.55% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.21% Total : 46.12% |
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