Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-8 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Paderborn would win this match.
