Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for SC Paderborn in this match.
