Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 52.31%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 25.7% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.45%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
