Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 22.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
