Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 52.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Hansa Rostock had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Hansa Rostock win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.
