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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Sep 19, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli
4 - 1
Ingolstadt

Zander (34'), Dittgen (50'), Burgstaller (61'), Buchtmann (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rohl (72')
Rohl (83')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and FC Ingolstadt 04.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for FC Ingolstadt 04 had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
St PauliDrawFC Ingolstadt 04
42.53%26.52%30.96%
Both teams to score 51.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.62%53.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.09%74.92%
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.15%24.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.55%59.45%
FC Ingolstadt 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.25%31.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.82%68.19%
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 42.52%
    FC Ingolstadt 04 30.96%
    Draw 26.51%
St PauliDrawFC Ingolstadt 04
1-0 @ 10.98%
2-1 @ 8.77%
2-0 @ 7.65%
3-1 @ 4.07%
3-0 @ 3.55%
3-2 @ 2.34%
4-1 @ 1.42%
4-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 42.52%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.89%
2-2 @ 5.03%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.51%
0-1 @ 9.05%
1-2 @ 7.23%
0-2 @ 5.19%
1-3 @ 2.76%
0-3 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 30.96%

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