Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
