SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Jahn Regensburg |
| 42.25% | 25.23% | 32.52% |
| Both teams to score 56.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.54% | 47.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.33% | 69.67% |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.6% | 22.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.09% | 55.9% |
| Jahn Regensburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.25% | 27.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.68% | 63.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| St Pauli | Draw | Jahn Regensburg |
| 1-0 @ 9.3% 2-1 @ 8.92% 2-0 @ 6.96% 3-1 @ 4.45% 3-0 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.28% Total : 42.25% | 1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 6.21% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.97% 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 5.11% 1-3 @ 3.27% 2-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.86% Total : 32.52% |
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