Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.