Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wurzburger Kickers win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wurzburger Kickers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.