Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 49.87%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 25.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.
Result | ||
St Pauli | Draw | Schalke 04 |
49.87% | 24.39% | 25.74% |
Both teams to score 54.47% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.43% | 47.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.23% | 69.77% |
St Pauli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.89% | 19.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.27% | 50.73% |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.34% | 32.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.79% | 69.21% |
Score Analysis |
St Pauli | Draw | Schalke 04 |
1-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 9.57% 2-0 @ 8.55% 3-1 @ 5.28% 3-0 @ 4.72% 3-2 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 2.18% 4-0 @ 1.95% 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.13% Total : 49.86% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 6.24% 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 6.98% 1-2 @ 6.47% 0-2 @ 3.91% 1-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.52% Total : 25.74% |
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