Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SV Darmstadt 98 would win this match.