Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.