Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.