Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 60.89%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Elversberg had a probability of 18.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 1-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Elversberg win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
-0.12) 
0.04) 
