Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 23.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Karlsruher SC win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.