Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.92%) and 0-2 (5.49%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
