Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Karlsruher SC would win this match.
