Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
