Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.