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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 6, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion (Dresden)
PL

Dynamo Dresden
2 - 1
SC Paderborn

Knipping (54'), Kade (88')
Stark (12')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Michel (61')
Thalhammer (40'), Schuster (43'), Collins (47'), Hunemeier (65'), Schallenberg (78')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Dynamo Dresden and SC Paderborn.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Dynamo Dresden win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Dynamo DresdenDrawSC Paderborn
34.67%24.73%40.6%
Both teams to score 58.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.33%44.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.97%67.03%
Dynamo Dresden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89%25.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.2%59.8%
SC Paderborn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.01%21.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.71%55.29%
Score Analysis
    Dynamo Dresden 34.67%
    SC Paderborn 40.6%
    Draw 24.73%
Dynamo DresdenDrawSC Paderborn
2-1 @ 7.99%
1-0 @ 7.63%
2-0 @ 5.27%
3-1 @ 3.68%
3-2 @ 2.79%
3-0 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 1.27%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 34.67%
1-1 @ 11.55%
2-2 @ 6.05%
0-0 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.73%
1-2 @ 8.75%
0-1 @ 8.36%
0-2 @ 6.33%
1-3 @ 4.42%
0-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 3.05%
1-4 @ 1.67%
0-4 @ 1.21%
2-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 40.6%

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