Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Oulu win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
