Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for Haka had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Haka win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
