Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KTP win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Haka had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a KTP win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Haka win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.