Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Turku win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Turku win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.