Ilves
2 - 3
HJK Helsinki

Carlos Murillo (2' og.), Ollila (83')
Siira (37'), Manga (47'), Loa Loa (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Moren (14'), Jair (45+3', 47')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Ilves and HJK Helsinki.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Ilves win was 1-0 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.

Result
Ilves	Draw	HJK Helsinki
32.35%	28.43%	39.21%

Both teams to score 46.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.86%

60.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.65%

80.34%

Ilves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.72%

34.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.02%

70.98%

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.15%

29.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.06%

65.93%

Score Analysis

Ilves 32.35%

HJK Helsinki 39.21%

Draw 28.43%

Ilves	Draw	HJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 7.09% 2-0 @ 5.86% 3-1 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.29% Total : 32.35%	1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.23% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.43%	0-1 @ 12.37% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 7.48% 1-3 @ 3.23% 0-3 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 1.73% 1-4 @ 0.98% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.5% Total : 39.21%