Alashkert
2 - 4
HJK Helsinki

Embalo (24'), Glisic (90+3')
Grigoryan (2'), Kadio (44'), Papikyan (85')
Grigoryan (36')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Riski (8'), Valencic (57'), Riski (63'), Olusanya (90+4')
Carlos Murillo (59'), Sparv (65')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Europa Conference League Group Stage clash between Alashkert FC and HJK Helsinki.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Alashkert FC had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Alashkert FC win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.

Result
Alashkert FC	Draw	HJK Helsinki
29.55%	27.62%	42.83%

Both teams to score 47.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.96%

58.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.28%

78.72%

Alashkert FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.77%

35.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.01%

71.98%

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.17%

26.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.88%

62.12%

Score Analysis

Alashkert FC 29.55%

HJK Helsinki 42.82%

Draw 27.61%

Alashkert FC	Draw	HJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 9.86% 2-1 @ 6.77% 2-0 @ 5.14% 3-1 @ 2.35% 3-0 @ 1.79% 3-2 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.09% Total : 29.55%	1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 9.45% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.61%	0-1 @ 12.43% 1-2 @ 8.54% 0-2 @ 8.18% 1-3 @ 3.74% 0-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 1.95% 1-4 @ 1.23% 0-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.98% Total : 42.82%