Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 53.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for KuPS had a probability of 20.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a KuPS win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.