Honka
4 - 1
Ilves

Alegria (17', 67'), Pyyhtia (80'), Smith (84')
Koskinen (60')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Almen (90+2')
Miettunen (5'), Arifi (52')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Honka and Ilves.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Ilves win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.

Result
Honka	Draw	Ilves
42.94%	27.79%	29.27%

Both teams to score 46.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.24%

58.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.72%

79.28%

Honka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.9%

27.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.52%

62.48%

Ilves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.17%

35.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.4%

72.6%

Score Analysis

Honka 42.93%

Ilves 29.27%

Draw 27.79%

Honka	Draw	Ilves
1-0 @ 12.67% 2-1 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 8.28% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-0 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.91% Total : 42.93%	1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 9.71% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.79%	0-1 @ 9.97% 1-2 @ 6.68% 0-2 @ 5.12% 1-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 1.99% Total : 29.27%