Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Ilves had a probability of 18.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Ilves win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for KuPS in this match.
