Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Lahti win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.