Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for HIFK Fotboll had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest HIFK Fotboll win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ilves in this match.
