Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Lahti win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ilves in this match.