Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for SJK had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest SJK win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.