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Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 17
Sep 27, 2020 at 4.30pm UK
Tammela Stadium

Ilves
4 - 0
TPS

Jair (30'), Skytta (45'), Veteli (78'), Ala-Myllymaki (90+5' pen.)
Aspegren (41'), Hilander (60'), Miettunen (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Carlos de Brito (68'), Rahmonen (83')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Ilves and TPS.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 56.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for TPS had a probability of 19.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a TPS win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.

Result
IlvesDrawTPS
56.85%23.5%19.65%
Both teams to score 49.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.78%50.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.83%72.17%
Ilves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.54%17.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.07%47.92%
TPS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.14%39.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.48%76.52%
Score Analysis
    Ilves 56.84%
    TPS 19.65%
    Draw 23.5%
IlvesDrawTPS
1-0 @ 12.14%
2-0 @ 10.59%
2-1 @ 9.75%
3-0 @ 6.17%
3-1 @ 5.67%
4-0 @ 2.69%
3-2 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 2.48%
4-2 @ 1.14%
5-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 56.84%
1-1 @ 11.17%
0-0 @ 6.96%
2-2 @ 4.48%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 23.5%
0-1 @ 6.4%
1-2 @ 5.14%
0-2 @ 2.94%
1-3 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.38%
0-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 19.65%


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