SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Turku win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Turku win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Ilves win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Turku would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Turku | Draw | Ilves |
41.68% ( 0.68) | 27.9% ( -0.03) | 30.43% ( -0.65) |
| Both teams to score 46.98% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.25% ( -0.07) | 58.75% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.73% ( -0.06) | 79.27% ( 0.06) |
| Inter Turku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.22% ( 0.34) | 27.78% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.64% ( 0.44) | 63.36% ( -0.44) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.05% ( -0.52) | 34.95% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.31% ( -0.55) | 71.69% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Turku | Draw | Ilves |
| 1-0 @ 12.43% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.82% Total : 41.67% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.9% | 0-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.15% Total : 30.42% |
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