Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Inter Turku had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Inter Turku win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.
Result | ||
Ilves | Draw | Inter Turku |
37.62% ( -0.27) | 25.96% ( 0.05) | 36.42% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 54.36% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.99% ( -0.19) | 50% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.01% ( -0.17) | 71.98% ( 0.17) |
Ilves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.07% ( -0.24) | 25.93% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.07% ( -0.33) | 60.92% ( 0.33) |
Inter Turku Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.39% ( 0.04) | 26.61% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.16% ( 0.06) | 61.83% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Ilves | Draw | Inter Turku |
1-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.62% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 36.42% |
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