SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Ilves |
27.67% ( -0.01) | 27.1% ( -0) | 45.22% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.79% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.97% ( 0.01) | 57.03% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.08% ( 0.01) | 77.91% ( -0.01) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.84% ( -0) | 36.16% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.05% ( -0) | 72.94% ( 0) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.86% ( 0.01) | 25.14% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.15% ( 0.02) | 59.85% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Ilves |
| 1-0 @ 9.25% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.7% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.2% 3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.52% Other @ 1.92% Total : 27.68% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 9.09% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 12.55% 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.67% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.99% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 45.21% |
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