SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Lahti win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | Lahti |
48.91% ( -1.52) | 25.49% ( 0.97) | 25.6% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 50.9% ( -2.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.79% ( -3.51) | 52.21% ( 3.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.08% ( -3.11) | 73.91% ( 3.11) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.64% ( -2.04) | 21.36% ( 2.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.66% ( -3.25) | 54.33% ( 3.24) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.72% ( -1.43) | 35.27% ( 1.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.97% ( -1.52) | 72.03% ( 1.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | Lahti |
| 1-0 @ 11.63% ( 0.88) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.43)3-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.33)4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.3)4-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.21)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.2)Other @ 2.4% Total : 48.91% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.48) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 1)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.31)Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.77) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.03% Total : 25.6% |
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