Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KTP win with a probability of 46.78%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 26.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a KTP win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 0-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
