Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 48.98%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 0-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SJK would win this match.
