Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Lahti win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.