Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 60.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Oulu had a probability of 16.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Oulu win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
