Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 68.96%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Oulu had a probability of 12.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Oulu win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
