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AU
Australian A-League | Gameweek 14
Mar 28, 2021 at 8.10am UK
Coopers Stadium
SF

Adelaide United
1 - 0
Sydney FC

Goodwin (76' pen.)
D'Arrigo (15'), Mauk (59'), Yengi (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ivanovic (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawSydney FC
33.65%23.78%42.58%
Both teams to score 61.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.6%40.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.22%62.78%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.32%23.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.2%57.8%
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.73%19.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.99%51.01%
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 33.65%
    Sydney FC 42.58%
    Draw 23.77%
Adelaide UnitedDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 7.8%
1-0 @ 6.58%
2-0 @ 4.74%
3-1 @ 3.74%
3-2 @ 3.08%
3-0 @ 2.27%
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 33.65%
1-1 @ 10.82%
2-2 @ 6.42%
0-0 @ 4.57%
3-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 8.91%
0-1 @ 7.52%
0-2 @ 6.19%
1-3 @ 4.89%
2-3 @ 3.52%
0-3 @ 3.4%
1-4 @ 2.01%
2-4 @ 1.45%
0-4 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 42.58%

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