Victory
1 - 3
Adelaide United

Brimmer (28')
Brimmer (23'), Anderson (47'), Roux (54'), Broxham (68')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mauk (35', 77'), Yengi (62')
Lopez (20')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Adelaide United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Adelaide United
35.35%	23.67%	40.98%

Both teams to score 62.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.53%

39.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.19%

61.81%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.68%

22.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.21%

55.79%

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.41%

19.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.48%

51.52%

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 35.35%

Adelaide United 40.98%

Draw 23.66%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 8.02% 1-0 @ 6.56% 2-0 @ 4.92% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.48% Total : 35.35%	1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 6.53% 0-0 @ 4.37% 3-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.66%	1-2 @ 8.71% 0-1 @ 7.13% 0-2 @ 5.81% 1-3 @ 4.74% 2-3 @ 3.55% 0-3 @ 3.16% 1-4 @ 1.93% 2-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.22% Total : 40.98%