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Australian A-League | Gameweek 5
Feb 27, 2021 at 6.05am UK
Parramatta Stadium
AU

Western Sydney
2 - 3
Adelaide United

Kamau (61'), Duke (90')
Gordon (57')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Goodwin (2'), Mauk (44'), Toure (82')
Caletti (58'), Smith (82')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Western Sydney WanderersDrawAdelaide United
42.88%24.55%32.57%
Both teams to score 58.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.6%44.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.23%66.77%
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2%20.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.54%53.46%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.78%26.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.68%61.32%
Score Analysis
    Western Sydney Wanderers 42.88%
    Adelaide United 32.57%
    Draw 24.55%
Western Sydney WanderersDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 9%
1-0 @ 8.56%
2-0 @ 6.72%
3-1 @ 4.71%
3-0 @ 3.52%
3-2 @ 3.15%
4-1 @ 1.85%
4-0 @ 1.38%
4-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 42.88%
1-1 @ 11.46%
2-2 @ 6.02%
0-0 @ 5.45%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.55%
1-2 @ 7.67%
0-1 @ 7.3%
0-2 @ 4.89%
1-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 2.69%
0-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 32.57%

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